Northwestern
W-L: (19- 3) PR = 96.9156Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 20-12 209 H Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 9-10 214 H Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 18- 7 215 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 25- 2 220 H Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 25- 7 228 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 13-12 312 H Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 6- 9 315 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 15-16 321 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 17- 3 325 A North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 17-16 329 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 16-12 404 H Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 11- 5 409 A Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 11-10 412 A Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 17-12 415 H Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 18- 6 418 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 9- 7 424 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 10- 7 426 N Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 8- 7 510 H James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 17- 5 514 H Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 13-12 522 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 16-11 524 H North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 14-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Boston College 20-12 8 3 ++ 5.18
209 H Colorado 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.37
214 H Army 18- 7 11 7 ++ 4.17
215 H Central Michigan 25- 2 23 24 0.00
220 H Marquette 25- 7 18 12 1.72
228 A Stony Brook 13-12 1 2 -0.84
312 H Syracuse 6- 9 -3 5 --- -8.20
315 H Ohio State 15-16 -1 8 --- -9.19
321 A Oregon 17- 3 14 14 0.24
325 A North Carolina 17-16 1 -4 ++ 5.35
329 H Johns Hopkins 16-12 4 4 -0.06
404 H Southern California 11- 5 6 12 -- -5.75
409 A Maryland 11-10 1 2 -0.89
412 A Penn State 17-12 5 2 + 2.80
415 H Rutgers 18- 6 12 7 ++ 4.60
418 A Michigan 9- 7 2 2 0.37
424 A Michigan 10- 7 3 2 1.37
426 N Maryland 8- 7 1 3 - -2.26
510 H James Madison 17- 5 12 7 ++ 4.58
514 H Colorado 13-12 1 4 - -3.37
522 H Johns Hopkins 16-11 5 4 0.94
524 H North Carolina 14-11 3 -2 ++ 4.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Syracuse 6- 9 -3 5 --- -8.20 315 H Ohio State 15-16 -1 8 --- -9.19 209 H Colorado 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.37 404 H Southern California 11- 5 6 12 -- -5.75 426 N Maryland 8- 7 1 3 - -2.26 514 H Colorado 13-12 1 4 - -3.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Boston College 20-12 8 3 ++ 5.18 214 H Army 18- 7 11 7 ++ 4.17 325 A North Carolina 17-16 1 -4 ++ 5.35 415 H Rutgers 18- 6 12 7 ++ 4.60 510 H James Madison 17- 5 12 7 ++ 4.58 524 H North Carolina 14-11 3 -2 ++ 4.62 412 A Penn State 17-12 5 2 + 2.80 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 20-12 -7.17 33.00 1.37 0.79 54.12
3 H Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 9-10 -5.99 34.18 -1.37 0.79 -2.90
3 H Army (15- 5, 91.5) 18- 7 -8.45 31.72 -1.37 0.79 47.80
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 25- 2 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 0.79 20.94
3 H Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 25- 7 -13.90 26.27 -1.37 0.79 39.21
3 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 13-12 -6.19 33.98 1.37 0.79 55.66
3 H Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 6- 9 -6.81 33.36 -1.37 0.79 -3.22
3 H Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 15-16 -9.80 30.36 -1.37 0.79 -4.40
3 A Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 17- 3 -18.12 22.05 1.37 0.79 36.88
3 A North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 17-16 -0.00 40.17 1.37 0.79 65.41
3 H Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 16-12 -5.68 34.49 -1.37 0.79 52.17
3 H Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 11- 5 -13.37 26.80 -1.37 0.79 40.05
3 A Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 11-10 -6.24 33.92 1.37 0.79 55.58
3 A Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 17-12 -6.55 33.61 1.37 0.79 55.09
3 H Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 18- 6 -9.02 31.15 -1.37 0.79 46.91
3 A Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 9- 7 -5.98 34.19 1.37 0.79 55.99
3 A Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 10- 7 -5.98 34.19 1.37 0.79 55.99
3 N Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 8- 7 -6.24 33.92 -0.00 0.79 53.42
3 H James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 17- 5 -9.04 31.13 -1.37 0.79 46.87
3 H Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 13-12 -5.99 34.18 -1.37 0.79 51.67
3 H Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 16-11 -5.68 34.49 -1.37 0.79 52.17
3 H North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 14-11 -0.00 40.17 -1.37 0.79 61.10
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936.52
|
winning pts = 947.0412 losing points = -10.5162
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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